Home > Weather > Hurricane Information

Hurricane Information


CPHC Central Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Central Pacific

Central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

ACPN50 PHFO 201724
TWOCP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 AM HST Sat Oct 20 2018

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Foster

NHC Eastern North Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 201720
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Oct 20 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Vicente, located just off the coast of the Mexican state of
Chiapas, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Willa, located a
few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Willa are issued under WMO
header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Willa are issued under WMO
header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Summary for Tropical Storm Vicente (EP3/EP232018)

…SMALL-SIZED VICENTE FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD… …HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO… As of 10:00 AM CDT Sat Oct 20 the center of Vicente was located near 14.3, -93.6 with movement W at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Tropical Storm Vicente Public Advisory Number 5

Issued at 1000 AM CDT Sat Oct 20 2018

NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (East Pacific)

National Hurricane Center – Tropical Weather Discussion (East Pacific)

NHC East Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion

000
AXPZ20 KNHC 201525
TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1358 UTC Sat Oct 20 2018
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

SPECIAL FEATURES

Tropical Storm Vicente centered near 14.3N 93.6W at 20/1500 UTC moving W at 6 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection is observed within 30 nm
of the center. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted elsewhere from 10N to 15N between 92W and 95W. On the forecast track, the center of Vicente will gradually move farther
away from the coasts of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico today.

Vicente will bring abundant and persistent tropical moisture along the coast of southern Mexico, with precipitation guidance suggesting 3 to 6 inches of rain, with local amounts to 10 inches, possible across portions of the Pacific coast of southeastern and southern Mexico through the middle of next week.

This rainfall could produce life-threatening flash flooding and landslides within mountainous terrain. Refer to the latest NHC forecast/advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCMEP3/WTPZ23 KNHC for additional details.

Recently upgraded Tropical Storm Willa centered near 14.8N 105.7W
at 20/1500 UTC moving W at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Currently numerous moderate to strong convection
is observed within 90 nm of the center with scattered moderate to strong convection noted elsewhere from 12N to 19N between 103W
and 109W. Refer to the latest NHC forecast/advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC for additional details. …INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH… The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 13N91W. It resumes from
14N95W to 15N102W. Then resumes from 14N110W to 08N122W. The ITCZ
continues from 08N122W to 08N127W to beyond 11N140W. Isolated moderate to strong convection is noted from 03N to 08N E of 84W.

Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 12N
to 15N between 95W and 102W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted from 09N to 13N between 116W and 122W.

Scattered moderate isolated strong convection was noted from 09N
to 12N W of 132W.

DISCUSSION

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO… See the Special Features paragraph for details on Tropical Cyclone Vicente and recently upgraded Tropical Storm Willa.

Elsewhere, a surface ridge will meander across the offshore waters from 23N117W to 21N106W through Mon. Gentle NW to N flow is expected N of 20N W of 110W through early Tue. The pressure gradient is then forecast to tighten, supporting moderate northerly flow W of the Baja California Peninsula during the middle of next week as large southerly swell propagates N through
the waters W of Baja.

Gulf of California: Light, mostly northerly flow is expected through the middle of next week when large southerly swell will
reach the southern approach to the gulf waters. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR…

Gentle to moderate southwesterly to westerly monsoonal flow will dominate the offshore waters through Sat night. Fresh SW winds
are expected to develop S of 05N E of 90W on Sat night through Sun night with seas to 9 ft. REMAINDER OF THE AREA… Refer to the Special Features paragraph above for details on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Willa.

Elsewhere, a surface ridge will meander from near 30N135W to 23N117W through the upcoming weekend. Fresh winds, and 7 to 9 ft seas, are observed across the tropical waters from 13N to 19N W of 133W. These conditions will shift W of the area Mon.

$$
AL

National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks

National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks

NHC Atlantic Outlook


Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Oct 20 2018

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Avila
NNNN


NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook


Eastern North Pacific 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Eastern North Pacific 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Oct 20 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Vicente, located just off the coast of the Mexican state of
Chiapas, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Willa, located a
few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Willa are issued under WMO
header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Willa are issued under WMO
header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Berg
NNNN