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Hurricane Information


CPHC Central Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Central Pacific

Central Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

ACPN50 PHFO 171115
TWOCP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 AM HST Fri Aug 17 2018

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on
Hurricane Lane, centered about 1640 miles east-southeast of
Hilo, Hawaii. Lane is forecast to move into the Central Pacific
Hurricane Center area of responsibility on Saturday.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5
days.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Lane are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Lane are issued
under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

$$
Forecaster Kino

NHC Eastern North Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


650
ABPZ20 KNHC 171138
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Aug 17 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Lane, located over the far southwestern portion of the eastern
North Pacific basin.

A tropical wave, located about 1000 miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of
this system is possible during the next several days while it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts

Summary for Hurricane Lane (EP4/EP142018)

…LANE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE… …EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE… As of 2:00 AM PDT Fri Aug 17 the center of Lane was located near 11.4, -131.4 with movement W at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 990 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 80 mph.

Hurricane Lane Public Advisory Number 10

Issued at 200 AM PDT Fri Aug 17 2018

NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (East Pacific)

National Hurricane Center – Tropical Weather Discussion (East Pacific)

NHC East Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion

870 AXPZ20 KNHC 171455
TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1358 UTC Fri Aug 17 2018
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC. …SPECIAL FEATURE…

Hurricane Lane centered near 11.4N 132.9W at 1500 UTC, moving W at 14 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 982 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 85 kt with gusts to 105 kt. Numerous moderate
to strong convection is noted within 120 nm of the center. Lane is expected to intensify, and move W of 140W into the central Pacific Sat night. See latest NHC forecast/ advisory under AWIPS/WMO headers MIATCPEP4/WTPZ34 KNHC for more details.

…TROPICAL WAVES…

The axis of a tropical wave is near 95W extending north of 05N, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection
is noted west of the wave axis, from 12N to 15N between 95W and
103W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 113N from 05N to 20N, moving
W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 08N to 15N between 108W and 115W.

…INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH… The monsoon trough extends from 08N78W to 08.5N86.5W to 07N95W to
10.5N109W to 10N115W to 13N122W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02N to 07N E of 80W.

DISCUSSION

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO… Surface ridging is west of the offshore waters area will support gentle to moderate NW winds will remain gentle to moderate through early next week.

No major gap wind events expected in the Gulf of Tehuantepec, with nocturnal northerly drainage flow around 15-20 kt expected tonight.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR…

The monsoon trough will meander near 09N the next few days. Winds on both sides of the trough axis will be moderate or weaker. The only exception is in the Gulf of Papagayo, where winds will pulse to moderate to fresh each night.

Long-period SW cross-equatorial swell impacting Central America and offshore zones is producing seas of 5 to 7 ft. Seas will diminish today.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA… Please see the Special Features section for information on Hurricane Lane.

Otherwise, ridging will extend from NW to SE across the waters N
of the convergence zone for the next several days. Gentle to moderate trades and 4-7 ft seas in mixed swell will prevail.

$$
AL

National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks

National Hurricane Center Graphical Tropical Weather Outlooks

NHC Atlantic Outlook


Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Atlantic 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 17 2018

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ernesto, located several hundred miles northwest of the
Azores.

1. A tropical wave located about 400 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are only marginally
conducive, and significant development of this system is not
anticipated. This disturbance is moving westward at about 15 mph
and is forecast to move through the Windward Islands on Saturday,
where it could bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the
Lesser Antilles during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.

Forecaster Brown


NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook


Eastern North Pacific 2-Day Graphical Outlook Image
Eastern North Pacific 5-Day Graphical Outlook Image


ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Fri Aug 17 2018

For the eastern North Pacific…east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Lane, located over the far southwestern portion of the eastern
North Pacific basin.

1. A tropical wave, located about 1000 miles south-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development of
this system is possible during the next several days while it moves
westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

Forecaster Roberts