The National Weather Service has issued a High Surf Advisory effective through 6pm this evening for Maui's north facing shores. A new round of north-northwest swell is expected to fill in today to offer surf at near double-overhead levels at our better exposed breaks. This swell is shorter period than what we've been used to recently, so don't expect as much power. The exceptionally light winds should offer excellent conditions though. This energy should stick around at decent levels Saturday and could still be fun Sunday. Additional reinforcements from the north should ensure a very fun weekend of surf. Next week looks like it's going to be big and nasty as a series of powerful swells reaches Hawai`i beginning Monday with back to back reinforcements expected through the entire week.
North and northwest facing shores should offer plenty surf today out of the north-northwest with a little leftover from the west-northwest in the 8-12+ foot range at the best locations, slightly smaller at the lesser exposed breaks. Upper West shores may get in on this action around 3-5+ foot, possibly higher at the best exposed breaks while some areas see near flat conditions. The windswell has dropped to nothing, but some east and northeast facing shores could see some energy wrapping in around the 3-5 foot range, just don't count on it. Get what you can this weekend as next week ...
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The big northwest swell has dropped significantly but the addition of another minor west-northwest swell will still offer head-high surf at most of the better breaks today. A small to moderate north-northwest swell is expected to arrive Friday afternoon that should keep the action going through Saturday when another smaller and weaker pulse arrives out of the north that should maintain the head-high surf into Sunday. A much larger northwest swell is then expected to arrive Monday with the potential to raise the warning flags again, most definitely reaching above advisory levels. It's a little too early for confidence, but the models are hinting toward giant but very dangerous surf later in the week with its source getting very close to the islands. More details to come.
North and northwest facing shores should still offer plenty surf today in the 4-6 foot range at the better exposed breaks, and there is still the potential for larger sets at the best breaks. Upper West shores will be smaller at 1-4 foot, and will be shadowed from the newer west-northwest swell. Windswell along our east and northeast facing shores should only be around 2-4 foot, but some spots may pull in small wrapping northwest swell. South facing shores should stay near flat at 0-3 foot but a very minor round of weak south-southwest swell may offer small surf in a few lucky breaks, ...
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The warning has been downgraded to a High Surf Advisory that still remains in effect through 6pm this evening for Maui's north facing shores as the large northwest swell continues with wave heights still in the double-overhead range at the better breaks. A new northwest swell is expected to reach Hawai`i overnight Thursday into Friday but probably won't reach Maui until late Friday morning, likely peaking several feet under advisory levels here on Maui while offering larger surf to O`ahu and Kaua`i. Yet another giant northwest is possible for Monday. There will be plenty surf in our future...
North and northwest facing shores should continue to see large surf in the 7-10+ foot range at most exposed breaks and a few larger bomb sets are still possible, so keep an eye on the horizon. Upper West shores are mostly small but some areas could see sets in the 3-5+ foot range or higher at the best exposed breaks. Windswell along our east and northeast facing shores will stay tiny but some breaks should pick up wrapping northwest swell around 3-5+ foot. South facing shores will stay near flat at only 0-3 foot with no swell to mention aside from weak background swell.
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The High Surf Warning will remain in effect through 6pm this evening due to a very large northwest swell slamming the Hawaiian islands. This swell will continue to offer big surf along our winter shores today with a little less west-northwesterly component, primarily out of 315°. The surf should still be in the triple-overhead plus range at the best exposed breaks, and some of the outer reefs could see larger sets for the tow-in crews. As always, the inner breaks should see plenty large but more manageable surf, just be aware of the strong currents and chances for sneaker sets. The swell should still have plenty left over Wednesday and most likely won't drop below advisory levels until Thursday. Another round of near advisory swell is anticipated to arrive Thursday night through Friday and there is a lot more to come later in the weekend and likely around the middle of next week.
North and northwest facing shores should still see plenty surf in the 10-15+ foot range today, with much larger surf hitting the big wave spots, potentially over 30 foot. Expect consistent surf rolling through with little time to recover between sets. Upper West shores have a better chance today with surf more likely in the 6-10+ foot range, at least at the better exposed breaks, and some areas could see much larger sets if you know where to ...
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The National Weather Service has issued a High Surf Warning for Maui's north facing shores effective from 6am this morning through 6pm Tuesday evening due to the arrival of a very large west-northwest to northwest swell. The 51101 Northwest Buoy has been indicating a steady increase overnight into this morning and it's still rising as of 6am. It will take some time for this energy to make it down the island chain, so keep your eye on the horizon as we wait for it to appear as it will build to dangerous heights very rapidly. The start of this swell will have some west-northwesterly component in it so be aware that select west exposed breaks could see large and dangerous surf. Use your head and know your limits!
North and northwest facing shores should still have head-high plus sets rolling through this morning but the surf will rapidly rise into the 10-15++ foot range at the better breaks. Some outer-reefs could see sets pushing over 20 foot at the peak of this swell. Although the inner breaks will be smaller than that, strong currents and sneaker sets are likely, so be smart before paddling out. Upper West shores may not see much at the beginning of this swell due to Moloka`i swell shadowing, but some breaks could see surf in the 6-10+ foot range. Most south facing shores should stay tiny ...
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The High Surf Advisory remains in effect through 6pm this evening as a large northwest swell continues to pound Maui's north facing shores. This energy is expected to drop through the day but will still offer large surf, especially through the morning and early afternoon. The 51101 Northwest Buoy has seen a significant and steady drop through the night into this morning, so get it while it's here. The next swell on the horizon is on its way and it should be quite large when it arrives Monday, potentially reaching warning levels.
North and northwest facing shores should still offer plenty surf today in the 7-10+ foot range but the swell is on the way down. At least head high surf should stick around through Monday until the next swell arrives later tomorrow. Upper West shores should also still see good surf today in the 4-6+ foot range, and some of the better exposed breaks could see larger sets. Windswell along our east and northeast facing shores will likely stay small at 2-4+ foot, but those breaks that are exposed to the northwest swell could see larger sets. South facing shores will stay flat to small at 0-3 foot.
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I am experimenting with a long-range forecast chart for both North and South shores which I hope will help people better plan their lives around the surf. The charts can ...
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The National Weather Service has issued a High Surf Advisory effective through 6pm Sunday evening due to an incoming west-northwest to northwest swell building through the day. The 51101 Northwest Buoy has been showing quite impressive numbers beginning last night but don't be surprised if it takes a while for the swell to make its way down the island chain. Another swell is developing in the western North Pacific and it is absolutely bombing, with a large area of seas over 40 foot and a small pocket that is topping the charts near 50 foot! This is gearing up to be a potentially monstrous swell that should easily reach warning levels when it arrive late Monday into Tuesday. More details to come as this swell develops.
North and northwest facing shores should rise into the 8-12+ foot range today, and some of the better exposed breaks could see surf near or exceeding 15 foot. The westerly component of this swell will be blocked for most of the Upper West breaks, but some areas could pull in some good sized surf around 2-5+? foot if we're lucky. Enough northwesterly swell should be around to increase those odds. Windswell along our east and northeast facing shores should stay rather small at 2-4 foot although some wrapping swell may make it into select areas. South facing shores would be rather small with only tiny ...
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Lingering swell left over from the northwest combined with slightly increased northerly swell should continue to offer excellent surf today at overhead levels. The extra westerly component offered some fun surf for those who knew where to look, although there probably won't be much of that left today. A new round of west-northwesterly swell is expected to arrive Saturday, but Maui will need to stay patient for the swell to work its way down the island chain. This will be a large swell that will likely raise the advisory flags, and its direction should allow some of our west exposed breaks to go off. Another larger northwest swell is expected to arrive Monday that will easily surpass advisory levels and could potentially reach near warning levels.
North and northwest facing shores should still see surf around 4-6+ foot today and some larger sets could still roll through the better breaks. Upper West shores should also continue to see a little action around 2-4 foot, again the better breaks could see a little extra size. Windswell along our east and northeast facing shores will stay relatively small at 2-4 foot but some breaks could pull in wrapping northwest swell. South shores don't have much coming out of the south aside from tiny background swell, but some breaks could still see some westerly swell around 0-4 foot. Have fun, and get ready ...
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The combination of northwest and northerly swell should keep our winter shores going today, but don't expect any big surf as the swell appears to be smaller than anticipated. Another round of large west-northwest to northwest swell is expected to reach the state early Saturday morning but probably won't reach Maui until later in the afternoon, potentially peaking at advisory levels or quite close to it. Yet another larger northwest swell is setting up which would reach Maui Monday afternoon, easily reaching above advisory levels and maybe even warning levels.
Today, our north and northwest facing shores should see surf in the 4-6 foot range at many breaks and some of the better exposed locations could see slightly higher sets at times. Upper West shores won't see as much size but could still pull in surf around 2-4 foot or a bit higher if we're lucky. Windswell mixed with wrapping north and northwest swell should offer surf for our east and northeast facing shores around 2-4 foot. South facing shores may still see some small surf around 0-4 foot, and some areas could pick up larger swell from the west-northwest if you know where to go.
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I am experimenting with a long-range forecast chart for both North and South shores which I hope will help people better plan their lives around the surf. The charts can be found below. ...
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Although a high surf advisory has been posted for the islands of Ni`ihau and Kaua`i today, Maui is not included and will see smaller surf. A new northwest swell should build into the near double-overhead range today but it will probably fade to smaller levels rather quickly yet holding on through most of Friday. A similar to slightly larger northwest swell is expected Saturday with the potential of reaching advisory levels. The models are hinting toward the possibility of an XXL swell developing over the weekend that would arrive Monday. It's still to early for confidence on that one, but it is looking quite good. There won't be any shortage of surf through the period... enjoy.
North and northwest facing shores should see rising surf into the 6-10+ foot range at most of the better exposed breaks, possibly a notch higher at the best locations and a notch smaller at the inner breaks. Upper West shores may pick up into the 3-5+ foot range or slightly higher if we're lucky. Windswell along our east and northeast facing shores should be around 2-4+ foot, especially in those areas that pick up wrapping northwest swell. South facing shores should be close to flat at only 0-3 foot with no swell to mention aside from weak background swell.
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I am experimenting with a long-range forecast chart for both North and South shores ...
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