There may still be some south swell leftover today but it is on the way down and out, thankfully to be replaced by another round beginning Tuesday and a larger pulse arriving Wednesday. Exposed south facing shores may see surf in the 1-3 foot range and the best breaks could still potentially pull in a few chest-high sets if you know where and when to look. The easterly windswell should stay quite weak at only 0-3 foot with little chance of wrap along our north shores. Although a tiny bump may provide a little something along some north and northwest facing shores, the odds are pretty low. Don’t expect much more than 0-2 foot, but if we’re lucky we could see a few breaks pulling in some tiny surf. Upper West shores should stay flat at 0-2 foot. Keep those fingers crossed for the first potential swell of the early Autumn season developing later in the week!

0-2 foot
0-2 foot
1-3 foot
0-3 foot

Extended Surf Forecast

Pacific Peak Wave Height
Our south facing shores may still be picking up a little energy around waist-high levels out of the south-southeast but it’s on the way down and out. A pair of storms southeast of New Zealand sent up another round of summer swell, expected to begin Tuesday at small to moderate heights. The first source tracked on a more zonal path which aimed more of its fetch out of our swell window, leaving us with more of an edge-pass from angular spreading. However, the second low took a much more favorable track toward the northeast. The combination of these two swells may result in a near-high episode arriving Wednesday into Thursday. Looking into the forecast models, a decent storm has consistently appeared beginning around Thursday or Friday, pushing under Tasmania into the Tasman Sea. If all goes well, a significant amount of energy should push up the Tasman corridor toward Fiji. The bad news is that Maui is heavily shadowed from this swell direction so we’ll have to see how it plays out. More details to come, otherwise not much else is expected out of the southern hemisphere.

Pacific Peak Swell Period
Although a little energy was sent our way by weak lows in the western North Pacific recently, little if any of this energy will reach our north and northwest shores. Slightly better odds for a tiny bump around Wednesday, but we shouldn’t expect anything. However, the models are suggesting the formation of what could potentially be our first swell of the pre-autumn season. A weak low drifting east of Japan is forecast to consolidate just south of the central Aleutian Islands near the dateline beginning around Wednesday. If the model runs hold true, a brief but decent fetch may develop aimed quite nicely toward Hawai`i. More details to come as this scenario plays out or fizzles.

Pray for surf…

Wind and Tide Information

Maui Tide Report for September 10th, 2010
The Maui Wind Report for today is: The east to east-northeasterly tradewinds may stay closer to the light side today around 10-15 mph but will start in increasing trend toward more moderate levels throughout the week, gusting to strong levels in some areas.

The Maui Tide Report for today is: High tide at Kahului was 2.1 foot at 6:35am early this morning, fading to a low of 1.4 foot at 12:54pm shortly after noon, barely rising to a high of 1.5 foot at 3:42pm before fading once more to a low of 0.2 foot at 11:31pm late this evening.

Generate a daily, weekly, or monthly tide report for Kahului, Hana, Lahaina, Makena or Ma`alaea.

Maui Weather

Weakening high pressure north of the state is slowly drifting closer to the islands and should keep the tradewinds in the light to moderate range through the week with gusts potentially near strong levels in some areas. An upper-level low just northwest of Hawai`i may trigger some increased rainshowers today through Tuesday under an unstable atmosphere. High clouds are likely over the islands today and Maui should stay relatively dry but showers may develop later in the day and evening, especially over windward and mauka areas. The low is expected to pull away west from the state as the week progresses, but it’s hard to say what will happen later in the week, as the models disagree.

East Pacific Hurricane Outlook

There are no tropical storms current or developing in the tropical eastern North Pacific nor are any expected to form within the next 48 hours.

Photo of the Day

Surf Photo of the Day - September 13th, 2010