The long and painful flat spell is almost at an end, but we will have to wait through yet one more day of flatness today before a waist-high south swell arrives overnight into Saturday. A larger south-southwest swell should fill in over the first half of next week… details in the long-range forecast. Today however, will stay mostly flat. South facing shores will stay around 0-2 foot or so with only background swell likely. East and east-northeast facing shores should still only offer tiny windslop around 0-3 foot but some of the better exposed breaks may pull in slightly larger, but still weak sets. Most north and northwest facing shores will stay closer to flat at only 0-3 foot but some areas may be able to pull in a little windswell around waist-high levels but don’t expect much.

0-3 foot
0-2 foot
0-2 foot
0-3 foot

Extended Surf Forecast

Pacific Peak Wave Height
Well-aimed but heavily shadowed energy out of the Tasman Sea may pick up over the next few days along our south and west facing shores. As usual, Kaho`olawe will block much of any surviving energy though, so we shouldn’t expect too much here on Maui. I think at best we may see chest-high sets at the best exposed breaks. Another round of more southerly swell is expected to arrive around Tuesday which could potentially reach head-high if we’re lucky. A nice swell is setting up to the south of French Polynesia that is forecast to produce a captured fetch aimed toward the Mainland. Angular spreading should allow plenty moderate to near-high surf to arrive around Wednesday to keep the much needed action going through the rest of the week. Some models hint toward a cut-off low spinning toward the northwest, but it would probably be too weak to make much of a difference. Not much else is appearing on the models, but there is a hint of a strong system pushing into the Tasman Sea mid to late next week. It’s much too early to discuss, but is definitely something to monitor and hope for.

Pacific Peak Swell Period
The North Pacific seems to be showing some signs of life and the long-range models are showing some potential, but it’s still too early to mention. For now, we’ll have to keep our fingers crossed as a compact and weak low drifts to the east, pushing off of the eastern coast of Japan today. We may be able to pick up a very minor but welcome northwest swell around Monday but this should not be expected. Just keep in mind that every day of summer flatness takes us one step closer to the Autumn/Winter season.

Pray for surf…

Wind and Tide Information

Maui Tide Report for September 10th, 2010
The Maui Wind Report for today is: The increasing tradewinds will rise today to around 12-18mph out of the east today and should continue at similar levels through most of the weekend before fading to light levels again around Monday.

The Maui Tide Report for today is: High tide at Kahului was 2.4 foot at 3:41am late last evening, dropping to a low of 0.5 foot at 9:39am this morning, rising again to a high of 2.1 foot at 3:22pm mid-afternoon before fading once again to a low of -0.1 foot at 9:46pm later this evening.

Generate a daily, weekly, or monthly tide report for Kahului, Hana, Lahaina, Makena or Ma`alaea.

Maui Weather

Increased showers are more likely this morning focused over windward and mauka areas but overall rainfall should stay light to nil. High pressure north of the islands should increase the tradewinds into the moderate range today, and some areas could see gusts reaching near fresh levels. High cirrus clouds should be expected through the weekend and increased cloudiness is likely later in the weekend into the following work-week. .

East Pacific Hurricane Outlook

There are no tropical storms current or developing in the tropical eastern North Pacific nor are any expected to form within the next 48 hours.

Photo of the Day

Surf Photo of the Day - September 10th, 2010