Dropping surf won’t offer much action today but there should still be some decent sets out there. North and northwest facing shores should be able to pull in surf around 2-5 foot out of the north-northwest and the best exposed breaks may see slightly larger sets. Upper West breaks probably won’t be as lucky at only 1-3 foot. East facing shores will drop further but may still have a little left over in the 1-4 foot range but don’t expect any power. The fading tiny southwest bump won’t affect Maui much, if at all, only reaching around 0-3 foot. It doesn’t look like we’ll see much action over the next few days until a moderate north-northwest swell arrives Wednesday. We may see a tiny pulse from the northwest Tuesday, but the odds are pretty low. Another northwest is possible next Saturday. Keep praying for surf…

2-5 foot
1-3 foot
0-3 foot
1-4 foot

Extended Surf Forecast

Hawaii Swell Height Model
Forecast for March 3rd – 5th
The current west-northwest swell was generated near Japan last weekend and will be mostly blocked by our neighbor islands unfortunately, peaking today with slow fade into Friday. The north-northeast swell was generated by a gale in the Guld of Alaska and should also peak today and drop into Friday. An unimpressive low passed over the dateline yesterday and is now north-northwest of Hawai`i tracking toward the east-southeast as it passes by far to the north of the state. Peak winds did not reach gale status and will probably only provide us with a small swell arriving Saturday into Sunday. Unfortunately, a nearby low is likely to produce a rough and short-period swell arriving late in the day Friday. Looking further west, a broad area of low pressure may be able to whip up a minor swell series arriving Monday into Tuesday but we shouldn’t expect too much. The long-range forecast is a little sketchy with not too much to get excited about at the moment.

Hawaii Swell Period Model
Our south shores will remain seasonally flat aside from some minor background swell in some areas. The strengthening kona winds may be able to whip up some short-period and rough south to southwesterly windslop through Friday or Saturday. Although the South Pacific has some action, the jetstream is dipping southeast under New Zealand and is directing most of the swells far from our shores. A weakening low near Tasmania today may be able to push some energy up the Tasman Sea corridor, but the south seas archipelego will absorb most of this swell.

Wind and Tide Information

The Maui Wind Report for today is: Light southeasterly winds will give way to stronger northeasterly winds through the day with wind speeds up to 10-20 mph and potentially stronger gusts in some areas. east to northeasterly tradewinds should dominate the beginning of next week.

The Maui Tide Report for today is: High tide at Kahului was 2.2 foot at 2:47am late last night, dropping to a low of 0.1 foot at 9:01am this morning, then rising again to a high of 1.9 foot at 3:01pm this afternoon before fading once more to a low of 0.1 foot at 8:58pm later this evening. The mon phase is New Moon.

Maui Weather

The Maui weather forecast is: Plenty showers and possibly an isolated thunderstorm or two are expected over Maui today. High temperatures should only reach into the 73-78° range under strong northeasterly winds of 10-20 mph. A cold front slowly moving east across the islands will keep the rain and stronger winds throughout the day but the front is expected to weaken overnight. This front is extending from a surface low northeast of the islands and is moving away from the state. Although the winds are primarily southeast ahead of the front, strong northeast winds behind the front will take over after it passes. A Flash Flood Watch has been issued for Maui County as well as a Wind Advisory for Haleakala’s summit where snow is not out of the question. The front should pass to the east of Maui by Saturday evening and a drier air mass should follow behind Sunday and the first half of the upcoming week. A fairly close surface high should keep the northeasterly winds at moderate to breezy levels with typical tradewind weather associated with it. Another trough forecast to push toward Hawai`i around Tuesday may bring more unstable tradewind weather over the second half of the week.

Photo of the Day

Surf Photo of the Day - March 5th 2011