The north-northeasterly swell will continue to provide surf along our north and northeast facing shores today combined with the smaller and fading west-northwest swell. Another larger round of west-northwest swell is expected to arrive Wednesday and could reach well-overhead levels when it peaks Thursday. Today, our north and northeast facing shores should be in the 4-6 foot range or slightly higher at the best locations. Upper West shores may pick up a little wrapping action in the 2-4 foot range as well. Select exposed east facing shores should continue around 3-5 foot and may see another slight reinforcement filling in around Thursday. There is no swell to mention along our south facing shores at only 0-2 foot. The close proximity of a low developing later this week will likely rough up the seas considerably… details in the weather forecast below.

4-6 foot
2-4 foot
0-2 foot
3-5 foot

Extended Surf Forecast

Hawaii Swell Height Model
Forecast for February 27th-March 1st
Although we won’t be seeing any great swells any time soon and we have to face the harsh reality that the season has long since peaked, it looks like we should see a few minor swells through the forecast period. Most notable is a low developing in the Gulf of Alaska that will be sending down another round of north-northeast swell arriving Thursday, coinciding with the arrival of another west-northwest to northwest swell. The combo of these two swells may result in poorer conditions but a higher wave count. The other swell is developing far to the west of the state by a low in the western North Pacific, but its primary fetch looks like it will only be aimed well for a brief time before fading and tracking to the east-northeast. If all goes well we should see well overhead sets at the peak. The long-range models show another low forming around mid-week out of the remnants of this system which could generate another more north-northwest to northerly swell arriving Saturday, but its too soon for any confidence. The models go on to forecast a broad low developing later in the week stretching from Japan to Kamchatka that could kick up a poorly aimed northwest swell sometime early next week. Keep praying for surf, we need all the help we can get this late in the season.

Hawaii Swell Period Model
The South Pacific is still in no shape to send any energy toward our south shores as the jetstream pushes toward Tasmania and then dips southeast past New Zealand. It’s not that there isn’t any activity going on down under, its just that nothing is directed toward Hawai`i through the forecast period. Although it’s only the end of February, we are steadily getting closer to the time where we start to see some early season south swells forming. But not yet.

Wind and Tide Information

The Maui Wind Report for today is: The light northeasterly tradewinds will continue today around 5-10 mph and will continue to strengthen into Wednesday. The winds are expected to temporarily weaken Thursday while flipping to southerlies and are likely to become very strong by Friday.

The Maui Tide Report for today is: High tide at Kahului was 2.3 foot at 1:23am late last evening, dropping to a low of 0.5 foot at 7:55am this morning, rising again to a high of 1.3 foot at 12:51pm after noon, then dropping to a low of -0.1 foot at 6:51pm early this evening.

Maui Weather

The Maui weather forecast is: we should see mostly sunny conditions today with scattered windward and mauka showers possible. High temperatures should be in the 75-80° range under light northeasterly winds around 5-10 mph. High pressure north of the islands should keep the gentle to light tradewinds going through the day today, carrying an occasional tradeshower over the east half of the island. A frontal system is expected to bring heavy rain and strong kona winds later in the week. The models and forecast predict a low developing near the islands Thursday which should strengthen and flip the winds out of the south to southwest as well as the potential for heavy rainfall in some areas. Presently, this system looks like it will weaken before reaching Maui overnight Friday and will have less of an impact here. It’s still a little early to hold any confidence however, so please check back for details.

Photo of the Day

Surf Photo of the Day - March 1st 2011