It may be possible that the flat surf will be so small today that it actually comes in at negative levels. I’m joking, of course, but this flat spell is going to be tough. Although some tiny background swell may edge in from the south-southeast around 0-3 foot, our south facing shores will be essentially flat. There will be little hope for any surfable waves through the work-week, but there could be a little action over the weekend if all goes well. Our north and northwest facing shores shouldn’t rise above 0-2 foot as will Upper West shores. The minor windswell may offer tiny wavelets around 1-3 foot but won’t have enough energy to wrap around to any other shores, at least not at rideable levels.

0-2 foot
0-2 foot
0-3 foot
1-3 foot

Extended Surf Forecast

Pacific Peak Wave Height
The South Pacific has been in a zonal west to east pattern recently and has not allowed much swell to take aim toward our shores. A low in the northern Tasman Sea has been trying to buck that trend and may be able to provide us with a small to potentially moderate southwest pulse around Thursday or Friday. Don’t get your hopes up though, as this region is notorious for phantom swells due to the myriad of south seas islands blocking the energy. The source is much closer than usual though, so the odds are slightly higher. Emphasis on "slightly". A strong gale passing under New Zealand today is tracking primarily to the east, but winds trailing the back flank of this system should aim some energy up our preferred swell window. This won’t be aimed well, however, so we really shouldn’t expect much more than enhanced background swell, but maybe we can squeeze out some moderate surf if we’re lucky. This action would reach our shores over the weekend. The models show more potential swell developing later in the week, but still no significant swells are expected.

Pacific Peak Swell Period
The North Pacific will continue to see flat conditions through most of the week, but it looks like we could pick up an out-of-season northwest swell arriving later in the week. A low developing east of Japan is modeled to broaden while merging with a Kamchatka low, potentially strengthening near the dateline later in the week while taking aim toward our wave-starved islands. If all goes according to the model runs, we could see a small northwest arriving around Thursday or Friday. The odds are low, so don’t get too worked up yet.

Pray for surf…

Wind and Tide Information

Maui Tide Report for July 5th, 2010
The Maui Wind Report for today is: East to east-northeasterly tradewinds will continue around light to low-end moderate levels today of 10-15 mph and should continue at similar levels and direction Tuesday and slightly weaker Wednesday.

The Maui Tide Report for today is: Low tide at Kahului was 0.3 foot at 2:49am late last night, rising through the morning to a high of 1.6 foot at 11:24am, dropping slightly to a low of 1.43 foot at 4:48pm later in the afternoon, then barely rising to a high of 1.44 foot at 6:40pm shortly after.

Generate a daily, weekly, or monthly tide report for Kahului, Hana, Lahaina, Makena or Ma`alaea.

Maui Weather

High pressure to the north and northeast of Hawai`i will maintain the tradewind weather through most of the week. Light to moderate easterly to east-northeasterly winds will carry light showers over our windward and mauka areas, mostly during the morning and evening hours. The tradewinds are expected to weaken a little over the middle of the week as the high pressure pulls further away from the islands but will likely increase to near fresh levels later in the week as the high pushes to the south. A minor trough is modeled to push in from the northwest over the next day or two but is not expected to affect the weather much, if at all.

East Pacific Hurricane Outlook

An area of thunderstorms associated with a weak trough can be found over a thousand miles southeast of Hawai`i but there is little, if no chance, of this area developing into a tropical system within the next 48 hours. The tropical East Pacific does not have any chance of developing any tropical systems within 48 hours either.

Photo of the Day

Surf Photo of the Day - July 5th, 2010