Another much smaller northwesterly bump should keep the small surf going along our north and northwest facing shores today and into Saturday and an above advisory level west-northwest to northwest swell is expected to arrive Saturday. Our north and northwest facing shores should be in the 4-6+ foot range, nothing to get excited about, but plenty to have fun with. Upper West shores won’t see too much action over 2-4 foot, but some of the better break may see a little extra bump. The tiny background swell from the south should be pau today and won’t offer much, but some south facing shores could see tiny surf in the 0-3 foot range. East facing shores may see a little windswell action in the 1-4 foot range.

4-6+ foot
2-4 foot
0-3 foot
1-4 foot

Extended Surf Forecast

Pacific Peak Wave Height
Forecast for February 2nd-4th
A compact low just crossed over the dateline while aiming a fetch in our direction but it is rapidly tracking east and won’t be able to generate anything too impressive. Regardless, we should see a fun-sized northwest swell arriving later Friday at well-overhead levels, probably shy of advisory heights though. A broader and more energetic low can be found between the previously mentioned low and Japan, and it is forecast to strengthen today and over the next several days while aiming a very nice and broad fetch in our direction. The resulting swell should reach Hawai`i Sunday above advisory levels, and it should last for several days. Nothing too exciting is appearing in the long-range models, but we should still see plenty surf through the forecast period.

Pacific Peak Swell Period
Please take a moment today to think about our Australian friends who are being absolutely hammered by Cyclone Yasi, a category 5 storm packing winds of 180 mph that is arguably more powerful than Hurricane Katrina. Wave heights over 30 foot are pounding the Queensland shore during one of the highest tides of the year. No, we won’t receive any swell from this storm. That being said, we may see a little background swell thigh-slappers arriving early next week as the area southeast and east of New Zealand became active. Most of the energy has been and will continue to be aimed better toward French Polynesia, but we may see a slight bump beginning around Monday of next week, followed by another chance Wednesday. These background swells will be nothing to get excited about though. The southern jetstream is expected to swing back to a more zonal flow through the rest of the forecast period, but the long-range models do show potential for some energy pushing into the Tasman Sea next week.

Pray for surf…

Wind and Tide Information

The Maui Wind Report for today is: The light east to east-northeasterly winds will stay low around 5-10 mph today although some areas may still see gusts into the 15 mph range. The winds are expected to flip to variable southerlies while weakening further into Saturday, becoming stronger but still only around moderate levels Sunday.

The Maui Tide Report for today is: High tide at Kahului was 2.5 foot at 3:28am last night, dropping to a low of 0.4 foot at 9:49am this morning, rising again to a high of 1.6 foot at 3:11pm later this afternoon before dropping again to a low of -0.1 foot at 9:08pm later in the evening hours.

Maui Weather

The Maui weather forecast is: We should see sunny conditions this morning turning to partly cloudy this afternoon with isolated showers possible later today. High temperatures should be in the 78-83° range under variable winds of 5-15 mph, becoming southerly through the weekend. Yet another cold front is approaching the islands and it has weakened the winds quite a bit which will become more south to southeasterly tomorrow. Another front is expected to reach Kaua`i by Sunday and will drift down the island chain through the night, eventually stalling and weakening somewhere near Maui or the Big Island Monday. Showers could become heavy late in the weekend and early next week. But today should stay relatively dry, although a few isolated tradeshowers may develop over windward mauka areas. It looks like the vog will make its way over Maui overnight. The forecast sees an area of weak high pressure filling in after the front passes which should lead to light to moderate northeasterly tradewinds through the beginning of next week.

Photo of the Day

Surf Photo of the Day - February 4th, 2011