The High Surf Advisory posted by the National Weather Service continues today and is effective through 6pm Thursday evening for Maui’s north facing shores. Maui probably won’t see much surf at those levels although the best breaks may see a few good sized sets. Our north and some northwest facing shores should see surf in the 6-10+ foot range. Upper West shores may see some of this energy around 3-5 foot or slightly better at the best exposed locations. Windswell along our east facing shores should stay tiny at only 1-3 foot but some breaks may be able to pick up some wrapping northwest swell near head-high levels. A tiny bump from the south is trying to offer something along our south shores but it is doubtful anything will be worth paddling out for at only 0-2 foot. Another reinforcement from the northwest is expected Friday and a slightly larger northwest should fill in Sunday with no shortage of surf to follow next week.

6-10+ foot
3-5 foot
0-2 foot
1-3 foot

Extended Surf Forecast

Pacific Peak Wave Height
Forecast for February 2nd-4th
A compact low just crossed over the dateline while aiming a fetch in our direction but it is rapidly tracking east and won’t be able to generate anything too impressive. Regardless, we should see a fun-sized northwest swell arriving later Friday at well-overhead levels, probably shy of advisory heights though. A broader and more energetic low can be found between the previously mentioned low and Japan, and it is forecast to strengthen today and over the next several days while aiming a very nice and broad fetch in our direction. The resulting swell should reach Hawai`i Sunday above advisory levels, and it should last for several days. Nothing too exciting is appearing in the long-range models, but we should still see plenty surf through the forecast period.

Pacific Peak Swell Period
Please take a moment today to think about our Australian friends who are being absolutely hammered by Cyclone Yasi, a category 5 storm packing winds of 180 mph that is arguably more powerful than Hurricane Katrina. Wave heights over 30 foot are pounding the Queensland shore during one of the highest tides of the year. No, we won’t receive any swell from this storm. That being said, we may see a little background swell thigh-slappers arriving early next week as the area southeast and east of New Zealand became active. Most of the energy has been and will continue to be aimed better toward French Polynesia, but we may see a slight bump beginning around Monday of next week, followed by another chance Wednesday. These background swells will be nothing to get excited about though. The southern jetstream is expected to swing back to a more zonal flow through the rest of the forecast period, but the long-range models do show potential for some energy pushing into the Tasman Sea next week.

Pray for surf…

Wind and Tide Information

The Maui Wind Report for today is: The easterly tradewinds will continue around light to moderate levels of 10-15 mph with gusts into the 20 mph range in some areas. The trades should hold through most of Thursday before dropping briefly on Friday into Saturday.

The Maui Tide Report for today is: High tide at Kahului was 2.6 foot at 2:42am late last night, dropping to a low of 0.5 foot at 9:07am this morning, rising again to a high of 1.5 foot at 2:01pm around mid-afternoon, then dropping into the evening to a low of -0.3 foot at 8:07pm tonight. The moon phase has reached New Moon.

Maui Weather

The Maui weather forecast is: we should see mostly sunny conditions around Maui today with isolated showers possible. High temperatures should be in the 78-83° range under light to moderate easterly tradewinds around 10-15 mph. The overall dry conditions will continue today thanks to high pressure north of the state maintaining a nice easterly flow. Although a brief shower is possible over windward mauka areas, most of the island should stay dry today. Another cold front approaching the islands from the west this weekend is expected to weaken and shift the winds to a more southeasterly direction beginning Friday. This cold front will likely bring plenty rainfall over the islands over several days. The winds are forecast to increase Saturday while turning more south-southwesterly. The front will likely stall near Moloka`i as it weakens. Yet another cold front is expected to approach the state early next week.

Photo of the Day

Surf Photo of the Day - February 2nd, 2011