Not much action to speak of today as the entire island goes mostly flat. We may see a minor north-northwest swell arriving Monday but don’t expect too much. Our north and northwest facing shores will stay tiny at only 1-4 foot at most breaks although a few stray sets may still be found at the better locations. Upper West shores should be near flat at only 0-3 foot. East facing shores may still pick up a little bump out of the north-northeast around 1-4 foot, but don’t expect too much. South facing shores will stay flat at only 0-2 foot with no swell to speak of. Aside from a possible northwesterly edge-pass around the middle of the week, there isn’t any surf on the horizon… start praying for surf.

1-3 foot
0-3 foot
0-2 foot
1-4 foot

Extended Surf Forecast

Pacific Peak Wave Height
Forecast for February 18-20th
A weak low in the central North Pacific may be able to aim its winds somewhat toward Hawai`i which could provide us with a minor edge-pass arriving Monday from the northwest. If anything does show up on our winter shores, it would be small at best, so don’t get excited over it. The jetstream will keep any significant swells from taking aim at our islands through the foreseeable future, but there is still a chance that we will see a few minor bumps through the period, ranging from the northwest to north-northeast. Moderate tradewinds should rebuild later next week that will hopefully be strong enough to produce some windswell. A Kamchatka low is expected to plow into the Bering Sea through the weekend with only small odds of a northwest swell pushing toward Hawai`i. The long-range models hint toward a low developing later next week in the Gulf of Alaska, also with only tiny odds of an edge-pass next weekend. All-in-all it looks like we won’t see much action.

Pacific Peak Swell Period
Looking now to the South Pacific, we still don’t see any hope from down under either. Although a low in the central southpac is aiming a moderate swell toward French Polynesia, and angular spreading could allow some energy to reach our shores around the middle of next week, whatever does make it this far would be at minor background levels. There are no other sources of surf through the forecast period.

Wind and Tide Information

The Maui Wind Report for today is: The light to low-end moderate east-southeasterly winds will continue around 5-10 mph but some areas may see gusts of 15 mph, fading later in the day.

The Maui Tide Report for today is: High tide at Kahului was 2.3 foot at 3:44am late last night, dropping to a negative low of -0.1 foot at 10:07am this morning, rising again to a high of 2.0 foot at 4:17pm later this afternoon, then dropping again to a low of 0.3 foot at 10:08pm later this evening.

Maui Weather

The Maui weather forecast is: mostly cloudy conditions around the state with scattered afternoon showers possible. High temperatures should be in the 77-82° range under light and variable south-southeasterly winds up to 15 mph. The high cloud cover will stay over Hawai`i today and the next few days courtesy of an upper-level low northwest of the state. Gentle to light southeasterly winds will stick around through the first half of the week under a relative unstable atmosphere, but most shower activity should stay over the Kaua`i and O`ahu. This system is forecast to weaken into a surface trough by mid-week and another upper-level low is expected to develop north of the islands. This scenario may result in increased showers over Maui county later in the week but nothing heavy is anticipated. Long-range models suggest that the tradewinds may return late in the week or weekend.

Photo of the Day

Surf Photo of the Day - February 20th, 2011