I apologize for the lack of updates recently. With the demands of a full-time plus job and my mother in the hospital, I haven’t had time to keep the site up to date. Mahalo for your understanding, I’ll do my best to keep the site current!
Nothing more than weak and sloppy windswell should be expected today although this windswell should slowly rise over the next several days, but it is not expected to rise very much. Select windward breaks could see waist-high sloppy A tiny bump out of the southeast probably won’t affect Maui’s southern shores, but maybe a tiny wavelet or two will filter in to select breaks for skimboarding. We should see a minor increase along our south shores beginning early next week but it is nothing to get excited over. There are no significant swells expected through the entire forecast period. A gale pushing up the Tasman Sea last week may provide Hawai`i with a small swell arriving Sunday into Monday but much of this energy would be blocked here on Maui due to island shadowing. The low associated with this gale tracked east of New Zealand early last week and set up a minor fetch aimed in our direction that should up the odds a little for a more southerly swell filling in through the first half of the week. Surf heights should on reach low-end moderate levels at best. Long-range models show a large and powerful storm tracking past Tasmania around the middle of the week. Although some energy may be sent up the Tasman corridor, the direction of this storm’s track will not aim much energy in our direction, even as it passes under New Zealand later in the week. More info to come as this plays out. Tropical depression Genevieve has entered the Central Pacific around 1000 miles east-southeast of the Big Island. At the moment, this storm will have no effect on Hawai`i, but select long-range models show the potential for this storm to reach near Hawaiian waters later in the week. Stay tuned for updates. The long-range models also indicate the development of a typhoon far west-southwest of the state which could potentially send some swell our way, but it is far too early to discuss. Pray for surf.
East and northeast facing shores may see surf around 1-4 foot or slightly higher at the best locations. South facing shores will likely only come in around 1-3 foot with little swell to mention, although a new pulse is possible later Sunday and into Monday. North and northwest facing shores may pick up some wrapping windswell around 0-3 foot but it will be sloppy and weak. Upper West shores should stay near flat at 0-2 foot.
Wind and Tide Information
High tide at Kahului was 1.4 foot at 2:33 AM late last night, dropping to a low of -0.2 foot at 8:47 AM this morning, then rising to a high of 2.6 foot at 3:56 PM early this afternoon, before once again dropping to a low of 0.7 foot at 10:20 PM late this evening
The sunrise was at 05:57 am this morning and will set at 07:07 pm this evening. The Moon is currently 29 days old, and is in a New Moon phase. The next Waxing Crescent will occur at 12:00 PM on Saturday, July 5th.
Moderate east to east-northeasterly tradewinds will continue around 10-20 mph today, strengthening slightly into Sunday and Monday, likely reaching breezy levels. A similar pattern should hold through the remainder of the week with a possible increase next weekend.
Sunset: 7:04 PM
Weather Outlook for Saturday
High pressure ridge north of the islands will maintain moderate trade winds to the islands. Showers carried by the winds will affect mainly windward and mauka areas. Winds may strengthen somewhat in the next few days.
Shower activities subsided quite a bit early this morning over Oahu, as the tail end of an area of moisture continues to pass west. The bulk of this moisture stayed just north of the islands, and with the present of an upper level trough northwest of the state, thunderstorms developed north of Kauai and Oahu overnight as well. Radar data indicated a few showers continue to affect the islands early this morning, mainly windward areas. Latest satellite imagery indicates there are some more low level clouds just east of the islands early this morning, and these low clouds will provide some showers to the state in the coming hours. Morning soundings from Lihue and Hilo pretty much indicated the described weather situation, with Hilo sounding being drier and more stable while Lihue sounding remains more moist and unstable. Expect the drier air mass to spread from the east to the western islands later today, resulting in a decrease in the shower coverage.
A surface high pressure ridge will remain north of the state pretty much the week. Although the ridge is not very strong, pressure gradient across the state remains somewhat tight as low pressure systems passing south of the islands will help maintaining the gradient. As such, moderate trade winds with a slight increasing trend will prevail through this week, but will fluctuate a bit at times. Overall, trade wind weather is to continue this week, with passing showers affecting mainly windward and mauka areas. Latest model guidance still shows a slightly drier air mass reaching the state by the middle of next week, though an upper level trough may persist west of the state. Still believe the islands will see a slight decrease in the trade wind showers due to less available moisture, especially during the afternoon hours. This weather scenario will be short-lived as a surge of tropical moisture from the southeast is still expected towards the next weekend. Therefore sticky and possible unsettled weather with increasing showers may return to the state.
Tropical depression Genevieve has now moved into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center /cphc/ area of responsibility. Refer to the bulletins issued by CPHC for the latest information on this system.
Central Valley (Kahului, Spreckelsville):
Mostly clear with isolated showers. Lows 66 to 74. East winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Leeward West (Lahaina, Ka`anapali):
Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Lows 69 to 75. East winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Windward West (Wailuku, Waiehu):
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight. Lows 56 to 72. East winds 10 to 15 mph and gusty. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Windard Haleakala (Hana, Haiku, Makawao):
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight. Lows around 71 at the shore to around 50 at 5000 feet. East winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 35 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Leeward Haleakala (Kihei, Wailea, Makena):
Mostly clear. Isolated showers in the evening. Lows around 69 at the shore to around 49 at 5000 feet. East winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 35 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Mostly clear with isolated showers. Breezy. Lows around 44 at 7000 feet to around 41 at the summit. East winds 20 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Photo of the Day