Surf along east and south facing shores will continue to subside through the weekend. A larger north northwest swell is expected to arrive Sunday, building and shifting from the north Monday night. This swell should produce surf near or potentially above the advisory threshold along north facing shores by Monday morning, and could produce advisory-level surf along east facing shores Tuesday as the swell direction shifts out of the north northeast. Strong northeast winds will spread down the island chain from Kauai to the Big Island from Sunday night through Monday night which will rough up the surf conditions quite a bit. Minor south-southwest swell may linger through the weekend, but don’t expect anything good. The models show an intensely strong storm developing far outside of our swell window in the southern hemisphere over the next several days, but this energy will be sent toward South America and possibly Tahiti. There is a slight chance that we could pick up a little something around Friday or Saturday thanks to angular spreading but let’s not count on it. The long-term forecasts hints toward the potential for smaller surf with better odds developing southeast of New Zealand next weekend, so keep those fingers crossed.
Today’s Surf Summary
East and northeast facing shores should still offer surf in the 2-5 foot range, wrapping into select north shore breaks. North and northwest facing shores will range from 1-4 foot with slightly higher sets possible at the best breaks. Upper West shores won’t fare as well at only 0-3 foot. South facing shores may be around 1-4 foot Saturday with a fade into early next week.
Wind and Tide Information
Low tide at Kahului was 0.8 foot at 5:34 AM early this morning, flattening out at a high of 0.8 foot at 6:06am shortly after, then dropping to a low of 0.5 foot at 12:45 PM just after noon before rising again to a high of 1.7 foot at 9:25 PM late this evening.
The sunrise was at 05:57 am this morning and will set at 06:49 pm this evening. The Moon is currently 7 days old, and is in a Quarter phase. The next Waxing Gibbous will occur at 3:44 AM on Monday, May 4th.
The east to east-southeasterly winds should remain light to moderate Saturday and through much of Sunday as a frontal system affects the islands weather. The winds are expected to return to moderate to breezy levels early next week, strengthening to stronger levels around the middle of the week.
Sunset: 6:49 PM
Weather Outlook for Saturday
Forecast updated for east facing Big Island, calling for a wetter Saturday afternoon. Satellite imagery shows a patch of shower bearing clouds off the eastern coast of the Big Island. The patch should be moving ashore later today.
A front approaching from the west is forecast bring showery weather to the smaller islands over the weekend. The front will first reach Kauai early this evening, followed by Oahu early Sunday morning. The front will then stall and dissipate over Maui county between Sunday evening and Monday. A strong high following the front will settle north of Kauai Monday and bring in some breezy trades to the islands lasting through at least Wednesday. The Big Island will be mostly dry through the weekend. A more typical trade wind shower pattern will return to the islands after Monday with the showers favoring the windward and mountain areas, especially nights and mornings.
Central Valley (Kahului, Spreckelsville):
Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Haze. Lows 60 to 65. Light winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Leeward West (Lahaina, Ka`anapali):
Partly cloudy. Scattered showers in the evening, then isolated showers after midnight. Haze through the night. Lows 61 to 69. Light winds. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Windward West (Wailuku, Waiehu):
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers in the evening,then partly cloudy with isolated showers after midnight. Haze through the night. Lows 55 to 66. Light winds. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Windard Haleakala (Hana, Haiku, Makawao):
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers in the evening,then partly cloudy with isolated showers after midnight. Haze through the night. Lows around 65 at the shore to around 52 at 5000 feet. Southeast winds around 10 mph in the evening becoming light. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Leeward Haleakala (Kihei, Wailea, Makena):
Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Haze. Lows around 65 at the shore to 53 to 58 upcountry. Light winds. Gusts up to 20 mph in the evening. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Partly cloudy with isolated showers. Haze. Lows around 45 at the visitor center to around 41 at the summit. Light winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.
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