The northeasterly swell will continue around knee-waist high levels but a few better exposed breaks could reach into the chest-shoulder high range if we’re lucky. There is also a very small easterly windswell mixed in with this energy, but that will really only add a bit of slop to the mix. We ma see a very small bump along the north and northwest shores Saturday but it won’t amount to much. Not much more than tiny to small, heavily shadowed southwest swell is possible along our summer shores, and it is unlikely any break will pull in any surf larger than knee-high and weak. A larger round of south-southwest swell is expected to arrive Sunday. Action in the southern hemisphere near New Zealand has sent up a pair of south swells, beginning with the arrival of a small to moderate south-southwest swell Sunday. A larger swell is expected to arrive Tuesday, packing more power as well as more consistent sets, but it probably won’t reach advisory levels. The long-range forecast models don’t show much else coming out of the South Pacific through the period but minor background swells may offer tiny surf in the long run. Looking to the Kamchatka region far northwest of the islands, a low is building with the potential of whipping up a decent northwest swell over the weekend. It’s fetch looks like it will be aimed nicely in our direction, but it will also fade out far from the islands which will reduce it’s potential. This energy should reach our winter shores Tuesday, corresponding with a fun-sized south swell. More details to come as this develops.
Today’s Surf Summary
North and northwest facing shores may still offer surf around 2-5 foot out of the northeast, mixed with minor easterly windswell in some areas. Upper West shores will likely stay flat at 0-2 foot. Windswell along the east and northeast facing shores may still be around 3-5 foot but it is on the way down. South facing shores will only come in around 1-3 foot. Better surf is on the way, so be patient.
Wind and Tide Information
High tide at Kahului was 2.3 foot at 4:33 AM early this morning, dropping to a low of 0.7 foot at 10:32 AM this morning, then rising to a high of 1.9 foot at 4:06 PM late this afternoon, before once again dropping to a low of 0.1 foot at 10:27 PM late this evening
The sunrise was at 06:14 am this morning and will set at 06:18 pm this evening. The Moon is currently 2 days old, and is in a Waxing Crescent phase. The next First Quarter will occur at 7:33 PM on Wednesday, October 1st.
The easterly tradewinds will continue at moderate levels of 10-20 mph today and through the weekend. The winds are forecast to decrease significantly throughout next week, beginning Monday, possibly swinging out of the southeast.
Sunset: 6:14 PM
Weather Outlook for Friday
The forecast was updated to include a slight chance of thunderstorms for Kauai county and adjacent waters for this Friday morning.
The moderate trade wind flow will turn lighter late in the weekend as the high pressure system north northeast of the islands continues to move eastward. The trade winds will be carrying remnants of a shear line onto the islands through the weekend. These showers will be favoring mainly the windward and mountain areas but the lee side of the smaller islands will get their share of passing showers. A convective pattern is on tap for early next week due to the light winds.
Central Valley (Kahului, Spreckelsville):
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 67 to 75. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Leeward West (Lahaina, Ka`anapali):
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 68 to 76. East winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Windward West (Wailuku, Waiehu):
Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening, then occasional showers after midnight. Lows 62 to 74. East winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80 percent.
Windard Haleakala (Hana, Haiku, Makawao):
Mostly cloudy. Showers likely in the evening, then occasional showers after midnight. Lows around 72 at the shore to around 56 at 5000 feet. East winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.
Leeward Haleakala (Kihei, Wailea, Makena):
Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows around 71 at the shore to around 57 at 5000 feet. East winds 10 to 15 mph and gusty. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Breezy. Lows around 53 at 7000 feet to around 46 at the summit. East winds 20 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.
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